- – The mobilization tool turned out to be useless when the Ukrainians found that there were no more volunteers and had to call people – a Polish military officer commented.
- Colonel Lewandowski believes another 100,000 are currently in Ukraine. Soldiers must be sent to training centers and 100,000 must be trained by the end of the year
- – You must remember that 50 thousand As for operational troops, this is the approximate number that the entire Polish army can currently send forward, he reminds.
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– Huge losses. People are tired and weary. We all remember these pictures from Ukraine when the cars carrying the fallen soldiers drove past the rows of kneelers. This is no longer the case. It is not that these people are not ready to kneel before the fallen, but there are many of them. It has become normal. Not only are Western countries used to war, but so is western Ukraine, says reservist Lt. Col. Piotr Lewandowski of the Territorial Defense Force Training Center.
– Of course, there is constant support for the players in front. But it turned out to be very word-of-mouth. And they need people to fight, he adds.
The volunteers ran out
Colonel Lewandowski believes that the Ukrainians made a big mistake at the beginning of the war. – They misjudged to replenish the losses and expand the army, because initially they had more volunteers than the army could accept. At that time, the Ukrainians only accepted apprentices, and it seems that they assumed that would be the case all the time. Volunteers would continue to flow down the stream, so they did not immediately begin building the mobilization apparatus, but did so with considerable delay. During this time the apparatus continued to deteriorate.
– When the Ukrainians discovered that there were no more volunteers and that they had to recruit, the mobilization apparatus turned out to be useless, the Onet interlocutor concludes.
Ukrainian soldiers build a network of trenches near Donetsk
Ukrainians are trying to right the wrongs. A few weeks ago in Ukraine Mobilization Act came into effect, which reduces the age of conscription from 27 to 25. In addition, it provides for the possibility of imposing fines on persons who avoid contact with the military apparatus.
– If the system is efficient, I think there is no need to lower the age of conscripts in Ukraine. They can still find these 27-year-olds at home. Unfortunately, I am concerned that this is not a propaganda move on the part of Kiev. Basically, look, we’re doing something to change the situation. If the computer is inefficient, it doesn’t matter if they try to capture twenty-seven or twenty-five of the records – comments Colonel Lewandowski.
Mobilization drip
This explains why the mobilization system is failing in Ukraine. – In the mobilization tool, we have veterans assigned to administrative positions. In Poland they are referred to as wounded soldiers. As a rule, these are officers who are seriously wounded and cannot return to the front. When they took over administrative positions, the number of those mobilized did not increase, but began to decline rapidly. This thin stream became a trickle, he describes.
Why did this happen? – These people began to overthrow the corrupt. At first they evicted the civilians, but the soldiers working there, figuratively speaking, started giving them trouble. These new commanders were leading officers. Their knowledge of how the administration and mobilization system works may be limited. Then there was an accident.
Colonel Lewandowski points out that the situation has improved slightly recently, as the mobilization tool in Ukraine has received considerable support from IT volunteers. – Registration should be carried out mainly electronically, for example for Ukrainians abroad. It requires people who develop programs and databases. And such were found.
Russia is not baseless. The Roman Empire also fell
Onet’s interlocutor has a theory about how many soldiers are currently missing in Ukraine. – We are talking about 100,000. Players should now be sent to training centres. And 100 thousand should be trained by the end of the year.
What if the Ukrainians fail to mobilize many players? What does this mean for the lead? In response, Colonel Lewandowski points out that Russian resources are also not inexhaustible. – The Russians are currently draining their peripheral republics. But it must be admitted that they are better at finding a new soldier than the Ukrainians.
Money is an important factor here. A Polish military officer notes that there are areas in Russia where people live on $200-300 per month, and the military initially gives them several times more money. – 5,000 on signing the contract. Dollars. In some republics, this bonus has already been doubled, he says, which is where problems are starting to appear in Russia.
He also uses a pictorial comparison. – This is similar to the Roman Empire where provinces were settled based on the number of recruits provided. The same is true in Russia. The authorities of the oblast republics are accountable on the principle that you must provide such and such a group of new soldiers.
The Polish military is aware of the existence of a financial incentive system in Russia, but in his opinion it is not perennial. — If we read that in some republics an education program for young people has been introduced, from the age of 14 you can work in the field of armaments, we know why it was introduced. This means that some Russian regions simply run without men.
Ukrainian soldiers in Avdiivka region
The Russians are doing in a month what the Polish WOT did in five years
The bad news is that Russia can recruit more and faster than the Ukrainians. Colonel Lewandowski estimates that Russia could employ about 30,000 men a month. People. – We achieved the target of 30,000 to 40,000 by building up the Territorial Security Forces for five years. Players. The Russians take out 30,000. People per month. You must remember this measure.
The colonel did not hide the fact that he was irritated by comments that underestimated Russian power. – We hear that somewhere the Russians are gathering about 50,000 troops. Soldiers, but it is considered an ordinary Russian element. You must remember that 50 thousand in terms of operational troops is the approximate number that the entire Polish army can currently send to the front.
– Such comments disturb me. Those 50 thousand Russian soldiers are considered small, minimal movements. In a moment, the Russians will be marching another 50,000 towards Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia, and someone will wave their hand and say these are fakes. The question is how many players the other side can muster.
Orc story ricochets
– At first, Ukrainians, but also the West, began to portray Russians as completely incompetent. They were Orcs, called Mobiki. I never used these words and thought they would become dangerous. Why? For once the Russians have gained the advantage, a difficult question arises: How is it possible that this stupid enemy can suddenly win against us?
The Polish military believes that “Russia has compensated for many of its weaknesses.” – However, it should be remembered that they do not formally compensate them, but purposely. They did not eliminate corruption, but they stopped it from influencing war. Of course, some money to equip players continues to disappear. Also, some equipment does not meet the standards and is of poor quality. Russians occasionally arrest someone for corruption. There is a public inquiry to check corruption.
– With the propaganda message “Look how pathetic the Russians are”, it suddenly turns out that the Ukrainian army is starting to retreat. Now this story is hard to change. Because we don’t compensate for our weaknesses, we have to beat ourselves up.
Russian troops during training in Kyrgyzstan
They packed up and went to fight. Most of them are already dead
The Polish army draws attention to another issue that does not help the Ukrainians at this time. – All people who visit Western Ukraine insist that life is normal there. Naturally such striving is natural. A side effect of this was that the war was pushed to the brink. What began to appear as an eight-year anti-terrorist operation from the perspective of many, our people were known to be fighting somewhere in the Donbass. Now it is starting to look a little better in the minds of Ukrainians.
– This is what the current commander of the Ground Forces of the Ukrainian Army says. Commander General Chirsky also talks about this. They appeal to Ukrainians, rise again, as in February 2022. We need another such awakening, such a wave of patriotism, but practical patriotism, he notes.
The Polish military assesses efforts to bring Ukrainians back to the country as futile. – Recently I talked to a Polish friend who works in a German company that employs several dozen Ukrainians. Some of them left early. The war started and they packed up and went to fight. Most of them are already dead. The rest don’t want to go to war and die now. I don’t see any legal instruments forcing Western countries to send to Ukraine.
– Unfortunately, I have the impression that Kiev believed its own propaganda. Russia is weak, our nation is a nation of knights. The Ukrainian people are, of course, heroic and defiant. I have said many times that fear is a reflex. Courage is a decision. I decided I was going to fight. About a million Ukrainians have made such a decision. These are heroes. However, the number of people willing to make decisions is limited. It’s done. It was apparently assumed that it would be several times higher in Ukraine, he concludes.
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