- The former GROM commander estimated that the counter-offensive had already begun. As he noted, preliminary “manoeuvres” and simulated operations are underway to mislead the adversary in the correct direction of the strike.
- According to the former GROM commander, the isolation of Crimea is a possible task “for this year”. The next targets would be the complete expulsion of the Russians from the occupied territories in the south, Melitopol and Mariupol, which would be a turning point and boost Ukrainian morale.
- “The game is clear. Ukraine has no choice. If it does not carry out such a decisive counteroffensive in the summer or autumn of this year, which will allow the enemy to be expelled from its own territory, the will to help this country will weaken – Polko assessed.
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Ukrainian officials said the Russians blew up the dam in Nova Khakovka, which forms the 240-km-long Kachovsky Reservoir, between Monday and Tuesday night. According to the Ukrainian authorities, the hydroelectric power plant located on the dam was completely destroyed and this could be the “biggest technical disaster in decades”. All Ukrainian services are on standby, evacuation of people from flood-prone areas is underway.
In an interview with PAP, General Polko, when asked how the demolition of the dam at Nova Khakovka would affect the Ukrainian counteroffensive, responded that it limited the possibility of conducting operations in the direction envisaged by the Ukrainians in his opinion. . However, he believed it The Ukrainian army has emergency variantsBecause the possibility of blowing up the dam was “talked about last year, when the Ukrainians made a tactical move”.
The former GROM commander estimated that the counter-offensive had already begun. As he noted, while in “ordinary, classic warfare” this is evidenced by artillery preparation for an attack, in this case it is mainly an action in information space that confuses the enemy. He added that these were preliminary “manoeuvres” and feints aimed at misleading the opponent in the right direction of the strike.
Ukrainian counterattack. General Polko pointed out the main targets
– Of course the element of surprise is that the bulk of the Russian forces were “tied” by the action of the Russian forces that entered Belgorod and conducted operations there. Any militants operating on Russian territory cannot overthrow his regime with impunity, he said.
General Polko estimated that diversionary measures are being carried out elsewhere that we may hear before a “full-scale counter-offensive” is launched. Its purpose, according to the former GROM commander, is obvious and important: “Isolation of Crimea, destruction of Crimean bridgehead and cut off of supplies by land”.
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Isolating Crimea, in his opinion, would mean “the dissolution of a large Russian base that destroys Ukraine’s economy.” According to General Bolkov, through Crimea, Russia is blocking Ukraine’s economic activities in the Black and Azov seas.
— I think that’s the main goalIt sets itself up to implement Ukraine. Not a victory, but isolating and weakening Crimea as a military base that now effectively destabilizes all of Ukraine, he said.
Melitopol and Mariupol in line for liberation? “Ukraine has no way out”
According to the former GROM commander, the isolation of Crimea is a possible task “for this year”. Next targets Complete expulsion of the Russians From the occupied territories in the south, Melitopol and Mariupol, this would be a turning point and boost Ukrainian morale. Only then, he added, would an attack be made on Donbass, “which is a very difficult terrain for offensive operations.”
“The game is clear. Ukraine has no choice. If he does not launch such a decisive counteroffensive in the summer or autumn of this year, which will allow the enemy to be driven out of his own territory, the will to help this country will weaken, Bolko assessed.
As he noted, there are increasingly strong voices in Europe and the United States that the West has already “spent enough (to help Ukraine) and can’t do more.” “President Volodymyr Zelensky knows very well that he has to do something to show success and encourage more support for Ukraine,” he stressed.
On the other hand, General Polko pointed out, Russian officials believe that Europe’s willingness to help a struggling Ukraine will weaken while Russia keeps the territories it has seized. He added that even if Russia won’t win the war, it will prevent Ukraine from winning the war.
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