Norwegian military intelligence service Etterretningstjenesten submitted a report on assessing security threats on Monday.
– We must be prepared for many complex actions by Russia, such as sending migrants across the border. The intelligence chief stressed during the press conference that there is also a threat of using military force depending on the course of the war in Ukraine.
“War in Ukraine Will Be Decisive”
According to Nils Stenssons, Russia is tired of the war in Ukraine and currently has no opportunity or interest in expanding the conflict. However, if Putin wins, the picture will be different – he noted.
– The war in Ukraine will be decisive. He asserted that a Russia that is gaining control of the economy, gaining momentum in the arms industry, and achieving military victories will be more confident in the use of force than a Russia that is emerging from the war.
Nils Stenssons added that Norway should prepare for more uncertainty. “We need to monitor the situation more closely and be able to act faster than was necessary a few years ago,” he noted.
In an interview with the Norwegian public broadcaster NRK, Stenssons considered the accession of Finland and Sweden to NATO (which Hungary is waiting for to approve the application – editor's note) as well as the rapprochement and cooperation of Western countries as a result of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, favorable for Norway.
The civilian Norwegian special services concluded that Russia poses the greatest intelligence threat in PST 2024. As mentioned, companies involved in arms donations and training of the Ukrainian military, the oil and gas industry, Norwegian military and civilian technology, and defense and allied military operations in Norway will be particularly affected. PST does not rule out possible sabotage by Russia.
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